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Luka Doncic
NBA · Player Props
Luka Doncic
F-G · Dallas Mavericks
Rebounds
Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks · Apr 1, 2023 Updated Apr 1, 2023 10:46 PM EST
NBA Props Luka Doncic Rebounds

Luka Doncic Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -125.

Favors Over
  • Luka Doncic has averaged 7.8 defensive rebounds per game this year, putting him in the 98th percentile -- among the hottest players in the league in this category in recent games.
  • Luka Doncic has tallied 35.9 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 98th percentile.
  • The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.0) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
Favors Under
  • Luka Doncic has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game while playing on the road this year, ranking in the 99th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone when it comes to technicals.
  • The Dallas Mavericks have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA without the home court advantage this year.
  • The Heat have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Mavericks.
  • The Dallas Mavericks have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Luka Doncic will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium generally decreases player performance across the board.
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