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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Rebounds
Player Prop - 3/29/2023

Philadelphia 76ers vs Dallas Mavericks

 
 
 
Luka Doncic Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+104/-132).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ +106 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ +104.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Luka Doncic has compiled 7.8 defensive rebounds per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league in this category: 98th percentile.
  • Luka Doncic has averaged 35.8 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 98th percentile.
  • The 76ers have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.4) in the NBA to the other team over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Luka Doncic has tallied 0.2 technical fouls per game while on the road this year, ranking in the 99th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled when it comes to getting T'ed up.
  • The Dallas Mavericks have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league without the home court advantage this year.
  • The 76ers have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 10 games at home, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Mavericks.
  • The Dallas Mavericks check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Luka Doncic will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road generally lowers player performance for all stats.

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