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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Rebounds
Player Prop - 2/11/2023

Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks

 
 
 
Luka Doncic Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+104/-128).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -128.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Luka Doncic has averaged 8.0 defensive rebounds per game this year, placing him among the best players in the league by this standard: 98th percentile.
  • Luka Doncic has tallied 36.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 99th percentile.
  • The Kings have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games in their home city, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Mavericks.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Luka Doncic has committed 2.4 personal fouls per game while playing away from home this year, ranking in the 79th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
  • The Dallas Mavericks have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league away from home this year.
  • The Dallas Mavericks have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Luka Doncic will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court usually reduces player performance for all stats.

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