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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Rebounds
Player Prop - 1/24/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Washington Wizards

 
 
 
Luka Doncic Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Luka Doncic has averaged 10.2 rebounds per game over the last 15 games, 1.3 higher than he's averaged in all games this season.
  • Luka Doncic has tallied 36.3 minutes per game when playing at home this year, placing him in the 99th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
  • The Mavericks have played at the 8th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games on the road, which should increase possessions for the Wizards.
  • Luka Doncic will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court usually raises player production across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Luka Doncic has tallied 2.9 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the league (91st percentile).
  • The Wizards have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (13.6) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 5 games when playing on the road (which also reduces additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • The Dallas Mavericks rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (which also eliminates additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The Dallas Mavericks have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home.

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