Luka Doncic Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/12/2023

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Luka Doncic

NBA · Player Props

Luka Doncic

F-G · Dallas Mavericks

Rebounds

Los Angeles Lakers vs Dallas Mavericks · Jan 12, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Luka Doncic Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -104 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luka Doncic has tallied 10.7 rebounds per game over the last 10 games, 1.8 more than he's tallied overall this season.
Luka Doncic has averaged 36.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 100th percentile.
The Mavericks have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to raise plays for the Lakers.

Favors Under

Luka Doncic has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game away from home this year, putting him in the 75th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The Lakers have given up the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (which also reduces additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Dallas Mavericks have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA without the home court advantage this year (which also eliminates additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league when playing away from home this year.
Luka Doncic will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium usually reduces player performance in all stat categories.

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