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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Points
Player Prop - 1/18/2026

Los Angeles Lakers vs Toronto Raptors

 
 
 
Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 35.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 35.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Compared to last season's 28.4 clip, Luka Doncic's points per game have jumped this season to 33.6.
  • The Los Angeles Lakers check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games as the home team.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting PGs have shot 23.6% on 3-pointers (lowest in the NBA) against the Raptors, resulting in a tough matchup.
  • The 7th-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers.
  • The Los Angeles Lakers are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions today from competing against the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play road team in the league over the last 10 games (the Raptors).
  • The Lakers rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
  • The matchup against Toronto may be a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a measly 3.7 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Raptors are on the road (5th-least in the league).

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