Luka Doncic Points - Player Prop Bet 1/6/2026

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Luka Doncic

NBA · Player Props

Luka Doncic

F-G · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Los Angeles Lakers · Jan 6, 2026

Updated Jan 7, 2026 3:45 AM EST

Analysis

Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-125/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 34.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 34.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luka Doncic has logged a whopping 33.7 points per game this season, quite a bit more than his 28.4 points per game last season.
This year when they are away from home, the other team's starting PGs have totaled 7.5 3-point attempts per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) against the New Orleans Pelicans, identifying this as a strong matchup.
The Los Angeles Lakers will likely see an increase in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Pelicans).
As a team, the Lakers have been among the best at getting to the foul line when playing on the road: best in the NBA this year, drawing 28.7 foul shot attempts per game.
This year, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 4.1 free throws per game (8th-highest in the league) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans, succeeding in their efforts to draw fouls.

Favors Under

The Lakers have played at the 6th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA while playing away from home this year.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Lakers rank 6thworst in in the NBA with just 9.9 offensive boards per game this year.

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