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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Points
Player Prop - 12/10/2025

Los Angeles Lakers vs San Antonio Spurs

 
 
 
Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 32.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 33.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • In comparison to last season's 28.4 clip, Luka Doncic's points per game have increased this season to 35.0.
  • The Los Angeles Lakers check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games playing at home.
  • This year when they are playing at home, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 48.4% on three-pointers (highest in the league) against the San Antonio Spurs, making this a favorable matchup.
  • The Los Angeles Lakers are expected to see a rise in plays today from facing the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 15 games (the San Antonio Spurs).
  • Over the last 10 games, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 4.4 free throws per game (10th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Spurs, succeeding in their efforts to get to the charity stripe.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Lakers have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games.
  • Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Lakers grade out 4thworst in in the league with only 9.4 offensive boards per game this year.

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