Luka Doncic Points - Player Prop Bet 11/30/2025

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Luka Doncic

NBA · Player Props

Luka Doncic

F-G · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs New Orleans Pelicans · Nov 30, 2025

Updated Dec 1, 2025 2:32 AM EST

Analysis

Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 32.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 34.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last season's 28.4 clip, Luka Doncic's points per game have spiked this season to 35.1.
The Lakers have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA playing at home this year.
The matchup against the New Orleans Pelicans is a positive one for shot attempts from downtown; opposing starting PGs have averaged the 3rd-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (7.1).
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 7 games.
The matchup vs. the Pelicans is a favorable one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted an enormous 4.1 free throws per game this year (8th-most in the league).

Favors Under

The Los Angeles Lakers will likely suffer a reduction in plays today from sharing the court with the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Pelicans).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and create further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Lakers rank 3rdworst in in the league with just 9.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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