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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Points
Player Prop - 11/18/2025

Los Angeles Lakers vs Utah Jazz

 
 
 
Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-108/-124).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 31.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 32.5 @ -108.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • In contrast to last year's 28.4 clip, Luka Doncic's points per game have surged this year to 34.4.
  • When it comes to scoring, the Los Angeles Lakers's terrific 50.4% field goal rate ranks best in the NBA this year.
  • The Los Angeles Lakers are expected to get a boost in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 3rd-quickest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Jazz).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This year, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 26.5% on 3-pointers (lowest in the league) against the Jazz, designating this as a challenging matchup.
  • The Lakers have played at the 8th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
  • The Lakers check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • This year when they are playing at home, opposing starting PGs have attempted 2.4 free throws per game (4th-fewest in the league) against the Jazz, struggling to get to the foul line.

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