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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Points
Player Prop - 4/30/2025

Los Angeles Lakers vs Minnesota Timberwolves

 
 
 
Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 32.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 32.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Luka Doncic has attempted 9.6 three-point shots per game this year, ranking in the 99th percentile among all players in the league.
  • Luka Doncic has been on the court for 35.8 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 97th percentile.
  • Luka Doncic has attempted 7.9 free throws per game this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile among all players in the league.
  • As a team, the Los Angeles Lakers have been very successful at getting to the charity stripe as the home team: 2nd-best in the league this year with 24.0 foul shots per game.
  • Luka Doncic will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court generally boosts stat production in all facets of the game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Luka Doncic has attempted just 20.6 shots from the field per game this season, significantly less than his 23.4 rate last season.
  • The matchup against the Timberwolves is a tough one for field goals; opposing starting PGs have shot for the lowest FG% in the NBA this year (39.8%).
  • The Lakers have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games playing at home.
  • The Timberwolves have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games, which should decrease plays for the Lakers.
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

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