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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Points
Player Prop - 4/25/2025

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Los Angeles Lakers

 
 
 
Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-117/-117).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Luka Doncic has converted 11.4 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 more than he's put through the net over the course of the year.
  • Luka Doncic has attempted 9.6 3-pointers per game this year, placing him in the 99th percentile out of all players in the league.
  • Out of all players in the league, Luka Doncic comes in at the 96th percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 35.5 minutes per game this year.
  • When it comes to scoring, the Los Angeles Lakers's excellent 115.5 points per game as the away team ranks 9th-best in the NBA over the last 20 games.
  • Luka Doncic has attempted 10.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This year, opposing starting PGs have shot 39.8% on shot attempts from the field (weakest in the league) against the Timberwolves, designating this as a challenging matchup.
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.
  • The Los Angeles Lakers will likely experience a decrease in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games (the Timberwolves).
  • The Los Angeles Lakers check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
  • The matchup against the Minnesota Timberwolves may be a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a mere 3.3 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (5th-least in the league).

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