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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Points
Player Prop - 4/8/2025

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Los Angeles Lakers

 
 
 
Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (+100/-128).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ -128.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Out of all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic places in the 99th percentile, posting an enormous 27.7 points per game this year.
  • Luka Doncic has attempted 9.7 treys per game this year, ranking in the 99th percentile among all players in the league.
  • Among all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic slots into the 96th percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 35.4 minutes per game this year.
  • In terms of scoring, the Lakers's terrific 120.6 points per game as the away team measures as the 5th-most in the league over the last 5 games.
  • This year, opposing starting PGs have tallied 7.7 3-point attempts per game (highest in the NBA) against the Thunder, marking this as a favorable matchup.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 7th-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Lakers.
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • Luka Doncic will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road tends to decrease player production for all stats.

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