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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Points
Player Prop - 3/27/2025

Chicago Bulls vs Los Angeles Lakers

Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-139/+104).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic lands in the 99th percentile, posting an enormous 27.9 points per game this year.

Luka Doncic has made 4.6 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the season.

Among all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic slots into the 96th percentile for playing time, putting up a colossal 35.2 minutes per game this year.

The Los Angeles Lakers will likely see a rise in opportunities today from squaring off against the 2nd-speediest pace team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Bulls).

Luka Doncic has attempted 9.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup vs. the Chicago Bulls is a tough one; they have given up the least points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PGs this year (13.7).

The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 6th-most lethargic tempo in the league when playing on the road this year.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to added chances for scoring and assists, but the Los Angeles Lakers rank 4thworst in in the league away from home with only 9.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

The matchup against Chicago is a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting PGs have attempted a lowly 1.8 foul shots per game this year when the Bulls are on their home court (least in the NBA).

Luka Doncic will likely see a decline in efficiency across the board on account of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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