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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Points
Player Prop - 3/24/2025

Orlando Magic vs Los Angeles Lakers

Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 29.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 29.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has averaged 32.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.2 more than he's averaged overall this year.

Luka Doncic has attempted 11.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 10 games, 1.3 more than he's attempted in all games this season.

Luka Doncic has averaged 35.0 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 95th percentile.

As it relates to scoring, the Los Angeles Lakers's excellent 117.7 points per game when playing on the road comes in as the 9th-highest in the league over the last 10 games.

This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 42.3% on 3-pointers (6th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Magic, making this a positive matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games while playing on the road.

The Orlando Magic have played at the 4th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA this year, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Lakers.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Lakers grade out 3rdworst in in the NBA when playing away from home with a mere 8.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

The matchup against the Magic is a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting PGs have attempted just 3.3 free throws per game this year (5th-least in the league).

Luka Doncic should experience a decrease in efficiency for all stats in light of playing on the visting team in this game.

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