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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Points
Player Prop - 3/17/2025

Los Angeles Lakers vs San Antonio Spurs

Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 32.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 32.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has attempted 11.2 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's attempted in all games this year.

Luka Doncic has averaged 35.2 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 96th percentile.

The matchup vs. San Antonio is a favorable one for threes; when the Spurs are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PGs have posted the highest 3-point rate in the league this year (48.4%).

The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to raise plays for the Lakers.

In regard to drawing fouls, the Los Angeles Lakers's superb 24.5 foul shots per game playing at home measures as the best in the NBA this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In contrast to last year's 11.2 rate, Luka Doncic's shots made have fallen this year to 9.2 per game.

Luka Doncic has tallied 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the league (94th percentile).

The 3rd-slowest tempo offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Lakers.

The Lakers rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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