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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Points
Player Prop - 3/16/2025

Los Angeles Lakers vs Phoenix Suns

Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-130/-100).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has attempted 11.6 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.

Luka Doncic has tallied 35.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 95th percentile.

The Lakers check in as the 6th-most efficient shooting team in the league on their home court this year.

Luka Doncic has attempted 7.2 foul shots per game this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Luka Doncic stands to see an increase in effectiveness in all facets of the game in light of enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Relative to last year's 11.2 clip, Luka Doncic's field goals converted have been reduced this year to 9.2 per game.

This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting PGs have registered 12.2 points per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Suns, resulting in a challenging matchup for offensive efficiency.

The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 3rd-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games at home.

The Los Angeles Lakers are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Phoenix Suns).

Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about added chances for scoring and assists, but the Lakers grade out 5thworst in in the league with just 9.7 offensive boards per game this year.

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