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Luka Doncic
NBA · Player Props
Luka Doncic
F-G · Los Angeles Lakers
Points
Boston Celtics vs Los Angeles Lakers · Mar 8, 2025 Updated Mar 9, 2025 5:00 AM EST
NBA Props Luka Doncic Points

Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -100.

Favors Over
  • Luka Doncic has attempted 9.5 shots from behind the three-point arc per game when playing away from home this year, putting him in the 98th percentile among all players in the NBA.
  • Out of all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic registers in the 94th percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 34.8 minutes per game this year.
  • This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied 3.0 three-pointers per game (most in the league) vs. the Celtics, branding this as a positive matchup.
  • The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Luka Doncic has attempted 11.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 3.8 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.
Favors Under
  • In contrast to last year's 32.7 mark, Luka Doncic's points per game have diminished this year to 26.8.
  • In regard to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 4th-least aggressive team in the NBA on the road this year has been the Lakers.
  • The Lakers have played at the 4th-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.
  • The Celtics have played at the slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should reduce plays for the Lakers.
  • This year, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 2.3 free throws per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Celtics, struggling to get to the charity stripe.
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