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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Points
Player Prop - 3/4/2025

Los Angeles Lakers vs New Orleans Pelicans

 
 
 
Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Luka Doncic has tallied 33.3 minutes per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 90th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
  • In regard to 3-pointers, the Lakers's stellar 36.9% rate of drained threes while playing at home ranks 10th-highest in the NBA this year.
  • This year, opposing starting PGs have tallied 7.1 3-point attempts per game (3rd-highest in the league) against the New Orleans Pelicans, designating this as a strong matchup.
  • The Los Angeles Lakers are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this game from competing against the 4th-quickest pace offense in the league over the last 20 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).
  • Out of all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic ranks in the 98th percentile for drawing fouls, tallying a whopping 6.9 free throw attempts per game this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Luka Doncic has registered just 26.5 points per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 32.7 points per game last year.
  • Relative to last season's 3.8 rate, Luka Doncic's three-pointers made have diminished this season to 3.1 per game.
  • The 3rd-most sluggish tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Lakers.
  • Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, but the Lakers grade out 4thworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.5 offensive boards per game this year.

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