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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Points
Player Prop - 3/2/2025

Los Angeles Lakers vs LA Clippers

Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-100/-130).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has tallied 32.6 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.

This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 45.6% on shots from the field (7th-best in the league) vs. the LA Clippers, designating this as a positive matchup.

Out of all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic slots into the 98th percentile for getting to the charity stripe, logging a colossal 6.8 free throw attempts per game this year.

In terms of getting to the charity stripe, the Los Angeles Lakers's outstanding 23.4 free throws per game measures as the 3rd-best in the NBA this year.

The matchup against Los Angeles may be a positive one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a whopping 4.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Clippers are on the road (9th-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In comparison to last season's 32.7 rate, Luka Doncic's points per game have been reduced this season to 26.4.

Luka Doncic has made a mere 3.1 three-point shots per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 3.8 mark last season.

The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.

The Lakers are expected to experience a decrease in plays today from competing against the 5th-least up-tempo pace road offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the LA Clippers).

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Lakers grade out 4thworst in in the NBA with just 9.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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