My Account Log Out

reorder

Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Points
Player Prop - 2/25/2025

Los Angeles Lakers vs Dallas Mavericks

Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 30.5 @ +120 before it was bet down to 30.5 @ -100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the league, Luka Doncic ranks in the 92nd percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 33.0 minutes per game playing at home since the start of last season.

The Lakers rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games.

This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting PGs have tallied 2.4 3-pointers per game (9th-highest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, labeling this as a strong matchup.

The 10th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Lakers.

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games on the road, which ought to raise plays for the Lakers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Relative to last year's 32.7 clip, Luka Doncic's points per game have tailed off this year to 26.7.

Compared to last year's 3.8 mark, Luka Doncic's 3-point shots drained have fallen this year to 3.2 per game.

The Lakers check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Luka Doncic has attempted a measly 6.4 free throws per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 8.3 mark last year.

The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks may be a challenging one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PGs have attempted just 2.9 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (least in the NBA).

More Luka Doncic Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™