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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Points
Player Prop - 2/22/2025

Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers

Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic places in the 98th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc, registering 9.4 per game this year.

Luka Doncic has tallied 34.5 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 94th percentile.

The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games away from home.

The 5th-fastest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers.

The Nuggets have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games with the home court advantage, which should increase possessions for the Los Angeles Lakers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Luka Doncic has registered a lowly 26.5 points per game this season, quite a bit less than his 32.7 points per game last season.

This year when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting PGs have shot 20.5% on three-pointers (2nd-weakest in the league) vs. the Nuggets, marking this as a challenging matchup.

The Lakers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Luka Doncic figures to experience a decrease in output in all facets of the game on account of being on the road in this contest.

More Luka Doncic Player Props

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