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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Points
Player Prop - 2/19/2025

Los Angeles Lakers vs Charlotte Hornets

 
 
 
Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Luka Doncic has attempted 9.3 treys per game with the home court advantage since the start of last season, ranking in the 100th percentile out of all players in the league.
  • Luka Doncic has tallied 33.0 minutes per game with the home court advantage since the start of last season, placing him in the 92nd percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
  • The Los Angeles Lakers check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 9th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
  • Luka Doncic is expected to see an increase in effectiveness in all stat categories due to enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Relative to last season's 32.7 mark, Luka Doncic's points per game have diminished this season to 27.0.
  • This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 11.3 shot attempts per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Hornets, labeling this as a difficult matchup.
  • The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Lakers.
  • Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Lakers grade out 4thworst in in the NBA at home with a mere 9.0 offensive boards per game this year.
  • Relative to last season's 8.3 clip, Luka Doncic's number of foul shot attempts has tailed off this season to 6.4 foul shot attempts per game.

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