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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Points
Player Prop - 2/10/2025

Los Angeles Lakers vs Utah Jazz

 
 
 
Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -145.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Among all players in the league, Luka Doncic lands in the 98th percentile for three-point attempts, compiling 9.6 per game this year.
  • Luka Doncic has played 35.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 96th percentile.
  • In terms of scoring, the Lakers's impressive 125.6 points per game comes in as the 4th-highest in the NBA over the last 5 games.
  • The Jazz have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the NBA while traveling this year, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Lakers.
  • Luka Doncic will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court tends to improve stat production across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Luka Doncic has posted a mere 28.1 points per game this year, significantly lower than his 32.7 points per game last year.
  • The matchup vs. the Jazz is a tough one for 3-point shots; opposing starting PGs have compiled the lowest three percentage in the league this year (26.5%).
  • The 7th-most lethargic tempo offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Lakers.
  • Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to added chances for scoring and assists, but the Los Angeles Lakers rank 1stworst in in the league with only 8.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.
  • Luka Doncic has attempted a measly 6.6 free throws per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 8.3 mark last season.

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