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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Points
Player Prop - 12/23/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Portland Trail Blazers

Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has converted 4.4 treys per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's converted from three in all games this season.

Out of all players in the league, Luka Doncic places in the 95th percentile for playing time, tallying a monstrous 35.3 minutes per game while on his home court this year.

The 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Mavericks.

The Mavericks check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. the Trail Blazers may be a favorable one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a monstrous 6.5 free throws per game over the last 10 games (2nd-most in the league).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Relative to last year's 32.7 rate, Luka Doncic's points per game have dropped this year to 28.9.

Luka Doncic has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (92nd percentile).

As it relates to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 2nd-least aggressive team in the league with the home court advantage over the last 10 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.

This year, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged 29.8% on 3-pointers (3rd-lowest in the league) vs. the Trail Blazers, resulting in a tough matchup.

The Dallas Mavericks are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this game from sharing the court with the most sluggish pace away team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Portland Trail Blazers).

More Luka Doncic Player Props

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