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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Points
Player Prop - 12/5/2024

Washington Wizards vs Dallas Mavericks

 
 
 
Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-143/+107).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -139 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -143.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Luka Doncic has converted 52.9% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 7.6% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season.
  • Luka Doncic has been on the court for 36.8 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 98th percentile.
  • The matchup vs. Washington is a strong one; when the Washington Wizards are at home, they have allowed the 4th-most points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PGs this year (21.8).
  • The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.
  • The Wizards have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the league this year, which should lead to increased possessions for the Mavericks.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • In terms of three-point attempts, the 4th-least aggressive team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Mavericks.
  • In comparison to last year's 6.5 clip, Luka Doncic's foul shots sunk have fallen this year to 5.3 per game.
  • Luka Doncic will likely suffer a reduction in effectiveness in all stat categories in light of being on the road in this matchup.

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