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Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-155/+115).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 33.5 @ -155.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Luka Doncic has played 37.8 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 99th percentile.With respect to scoring, the Dallas Mavericks's superb 119.2 points per game measures as the 6th-best in the league over the last 5 games.The Utah Jazz have played at the 6th-fastest tempo in the league this year, which should lead to more plays for the Dallas Mavericks.This year when they are away from home, opposing starting PGs have attempted 5.0 free throws per game (2nd-most in the league) against the Utah Jazz, easily managing to get to the charity stripe.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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In contrast to last season's 32.7 clip, Luka Doncic's points per game have dropped this season to 28.6.Luka Doncic has made just 3.2 shots from downtown per game this season, quite a bit less than his 3.8 mark last season.This year when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied 1.1 threes per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Jazz, marking this as a hard matchup.The 8th-slowest tempo visiting team in the league this year has been the Dallas Mavericks.Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks grade out 3rdworst in in the NBA with only 8.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
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