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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Points
Player Prop - 6/9/2024

Boston Celtics vs Dallas Mavericks

Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-125/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 31.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 32.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has attempted 23.4 field goals per game this year, ranking him in the 100th percentile out of all players in the league.

In contrast to last year's 8.2 clip, Luka Doncic's shot attempts from downtown have increased this year to 10.5 per game.

Luka Doncic has been on the court for 37.9 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, putting him in the 99th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.

When it comes to offense, the Dallas Mavericks's fantastic 115.9 points per game measures as the 9th-most in the NBA this year.

This year, the opposition's starting PGs have tallied 3.0 three-pointers per game (highest in the league) vs. the Celtics, marking this as a positive matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Mavericks have played at the 4th-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 20 games.

The Celtics have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Mavericks.

The Mavericks have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league away from their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 2.3 free throws per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Boston Celtics, struggling to get to the charity stripe.

Luka Doncic will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road tends to lower stat production in all facets of the game.

More Luka Doncic Player Props

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