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Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-133/+103).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ -133.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Luka Doncic has made 46.6% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games, 10.0% higher than he's made from downtown overall this season.In contrast to last season's 8.2 mark, Luka Doncic's 3-point attempts have surged this season to 10.5 per game.Among all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic registers in the 100th percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 38.3 minutes per game this year.In terms of scoring, the Mavericks's superb 116.2 points per game comes in as the 9th-strongest in the league this year.Luka Doncic should see an increase in performance for all stats as a result of owning the home court advantage in this game.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Luka Doncic has tallied 3.3 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games while on his home court, 0.9 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year at home.This year, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 39.8% on shots from the field (weakest in the league) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, designating this as a tough matchup.The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 15 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Dallas Mavericks.The Mavericks check in as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
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