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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Points
Player Prop - 5/24/2024

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks

Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic places in the 100th percentile, logging a monstrous 32.9 points per game this year.

In contrast to last year's 8.2 clip, Luka Doncic's shots from behind the three-point arc have risen this year to 10.5 per game.

Luka Doncic has tallied 37.8 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, placing him in the 99th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks rank 5th-best in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have shot 39.8% on shots from the field (weakest in the league) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, identifying this as a hard matchup.

The 7th-slowest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks.

The Dallas Mavericks will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from competing against the most lethargic pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Timberwolves).

In contrast to last year's 10.5 clip, Luka Doncic's number of free throw attempts has fallen this year to 8.4 free throw attempts per game.

With respect to getting to the free-throw line, the Dallas Mavericks's poor 20.6 free throw attempts per game while playing away from home places 9th-worst in the league this year.

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