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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Points
Player Prop - 5/9/2024

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks

Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-151/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 31.5 @ -121 before it was bet down to 30.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has posted 33.4 points per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA by this metric: 100th percentile.

Luka Doncic has attempted 10.6 three-pointers per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 8.2 mark last year.

Out of all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic lands in the 99th percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 37.6 minutes per game on the road this year.

This year, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 7.7 3-point attempts per game (highest in the league) against the Thunder, identifying this as a strong matchup.

The Thunder have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to raise opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 3rd-most lethargic tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks.

Luka Doncic has attempted a lowly 8.6 free throws per game this season, quite a bit less than his 10.5 rate last season.

Luka Doncic will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road usually decreases stat production for all stats.

More Luka Doncic Player Props

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