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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Points
Player Prop - 5/7/2024

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks

Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 32.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 32.5 @ -118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has tallied 33.5 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA in this category: 100th percentile.

Compared to last season's 8.2 mark, Luka Doncic's three-point attempts have risen this season to 10.7 per game.

Luka Doncic has been on the court for 37.5 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 99th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.

This year, the opposition's starting PGs have totaled 7.7 3-point attempts per game (most in the league) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, identifying this as a positive matchup.

The Thunder have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which ought to boost opportunities for the Mavericks.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Luka Doncic has attempted a lowly 8.6 free throws per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 10.5 rate last season.

As it relates to getting to the free-throw line, the Mavericks's feeble 20.7 free throw attempts per game on the road comes in as the 7th-worst in the NBA this year.

Luka Doncic will likely suffer a drop-off in performance in all facets of the game as a result of being on the road in this game.

More Luka Doncic Player Props

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