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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Points
Player Prop - 5/1/2024

LA Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks

Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-140/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 33.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 33.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the league, Luka Doncic slots into the 100th percentile, tallying a massive 33.6 points per game this year.

In comparison to last season's 8.2 clip, Luka Doncic's 3-point attempts have increased this season to 10.7 per game.

Among all players in the league, Luka Doncic measures in the 99th percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 37.5 minutes per game away from home this year.

The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against Los Angeles is a challenging one for scoring; when the Clippers are playing at home, the opposing team's starting PGs have shot for the 8th-lowest field goal rate in the NBA this year (42.1%).

The Mavericks have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games.

The Clippers have played at the 5th-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 25 games, which should reduce opportunities for the Mavericks.

Luka Doncic has attempted just 8.6 foul shots per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 10.5 mark last year.

As it relates to getting to the foul line, the Mavericks's subpar 20.7 foul shot attempts per game while playing on the road ranks 7th-worst in the league this year.

More Luka Doncic Player Props

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