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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Points
Player Prop - 4/23/2024

LA Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks

Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-125/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 33.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 33.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has registered 33.9 points per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the NBA by this standard: 100th percentile.

Luka Doncic has attempted 10.7 three-point shots per game this year, a big improvement over his 8.2 mark last year.

Out of all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic ranks in the 99th percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 37.2 minutes per game while on the road this year.

The Mavericks have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games while playing on the road.

The Mavericks have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the league away from home this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against Los Angeles is a hard one for field goals; when the LA Clippers are at home, opposing starting PGs have compiled the 8th-lowest FG% in the league this year (42.1%).

The Mavericks check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games as the road team (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Compared to last season's 10.5 mark, Luka Doncic's number of free throws has tailed off this season to 8.7 free throws per game.

The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a difficult one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a mere 2.9 foul shots per game this year when the LA Clippers are playing at home (8th-least in the NBA).

Luka Doncic stands to experience a decrease in productivity in all facets of the game in light of playing away from home in this matchup.

More Luka Doncic Player Props

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