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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Points
Player Prop - 4/7/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets

Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-160/+116).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 31.5 @ -160.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has converted 48.3% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games, 10.9% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season.

Luka Doncic has attempted 10.5 3-point shots per game this year, a big improvement over his 8.2 mark last year.

Luka Doncic has been on the court for 37.4 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 100th percentile.

The Mavericks check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games.

The matchup against Houston is a good one for scoring; when the Houston Rockets are away from home, opposing starting PGs have shot for the 9th-highest field goal rate in the league this year (45.5%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

In contrast to last year's 10.5 mark, Luka Doncic's number of foul shots has fallen this year to 8.7 foul shots per game.

More Luka Doncic Player Props

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