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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Points
Player Prop - 3/29/2024

Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks

Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 33.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 33.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the league, Luka Doncic places in the 100th percentile, compiling a monstrous 33.9 points per game this year.

Luka Doncic has attempted 10.4 shots from downtown per game this season, a significant increase from his 8.2 rate last season.

Among all players in the league, Luka Doncic slots into the 99th percentile for playing time, posting a massive 37.1 minutes per game while on the road this year.

In regard to scoring, the Dallas Mavericks's impressive 122.4 points per game away from their home court measures as the highest in the league over the last 10 games.

The Mavericks have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This year when they are away from home, opposing starting PGs have shot 30.6% on threes (9th-worst in the NBA) vs. the Sacramento Kings, designating this as a tough matchup.

Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 1stworst in in the NBA while playing on the road with only 7.4 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

In contrast to last season's 10.5 rate, Luka Doncic's number of foul shots has decreased this season to 8.9 foul shots per game.

Luka Doncic will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling tends to lower stat production across the board.

More Luka Doncic Player Props

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