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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Points
Player Prop - 3/26/2024

Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks

Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-129/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 33.5 @ -139 before it was bet down to 32.5 @ -104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has compiled 34.0 points per game this year, placing him among the best players in the league in this category: 100th percentile.

Luka Doncic has attempted 10.4 shots from downtown per game this season, a big improvement over his 8.2 rate last season.

Among all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic rates in the 99th percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 37.3 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year.

The Mavericks check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games when playing on the road.

The Mavericks have played at the 3rd-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games as the visting team.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup vs. Sacramento is a hard one for three-point shots; when the Sacramento Kings are at home, the opposition's starting PGs have posted the 9th-lowest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (30.6%).

The Mavericks rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

In contrast to last year's 10.5 clip, Luka Doncic's number of free throw attempts has fallen this year to 8.9 free throw attempts per game.

Luka Doncic is expected to see a decline in efficiency across the board on account of being on the road in this matchup.

More Luka Doncic Player Props

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