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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Points
Player Prop - 3/19/2024

San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks

Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 33.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 33.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has scored 34.4 points per game this year, placing him among the best players in the NBA by this standard: 100th percentile.

Luka Doncic has attempted 10.4 3-point shots per game this year, significantly more than his 8.2 mark last year.

Among all players in the league, Luka Doncic comes in at the 99th percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 37.0 minutes per game when playing away from home this year.

As it relates to shooting, the Mavericks's impressive 122.3 points per game as the visting team places highest in the league over the last 10 games.

This year, opposing starting PGs have shot 50.2% on field goals (best in the league) vs. the San Antonio Spurs, making this a positive matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Mavericks rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Luka Doncic has attempted a measly 9.0 free throws per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 10.5 mark last season.

Luka Doncic will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling tends to reduce player performance in all stat categories.

More Luka Doncic Player Props

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