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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Points
Player Prop - 3/11/2024

Chicago Bulls vs Dallas Mavericks

Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 33.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 32.5 @ +115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has posted 34.7 points per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the NBA in this category: 100th percentile.

In comparison to last season's 8.2 mark, Luka Doncic's shots from behind the three-point arc have increased this season to 10.3 per game.

Luka Doncic has tallied 37.2 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, ranking in the 99th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.

The Dallas Mavericks check in as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing away from home.

The fastest pace-of-play road team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup vs. the Chicago Bulls is a hard one; they have allowed the least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PGs this year (13.7).

The Bulls have played at the 2nd-most sluggish tempo in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Mavericks.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks rank 2ndworst in in the league when playing away from home with just 7.9 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

Luka Doncic has attempted just 9.0 free throws per game this season, significantly lower than his 10.5 rate last season.

The matchup vs. Chicago is a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a lowly 1.8 foul shots per game this year when the Chicago Bulls have the home court advantage (least in the NBA).

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