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Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-123/-105).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 34.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 34.5 @ -123.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Luka Doncic has logged 34.5 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA by this standard: 100th percentile.Relative to last year's 8.2 mark, Luka Doncic's shots from behind the three-point arc have surged this year to 10.2 per game.Out of all players in the league, Luka Doncic measures in the 100th percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 37.4 minutes per game this year.With respect to offense, the Mavericks's fantastic 121.1 points per game comes in as the 4th-best in the league over the last 10 games.The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The matchup against the Indiana Pacers is a hard one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the opposition's starting PGs have tallied the 15th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.6).Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 3rdworst in in the league with only 8.5 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.When playing away from home, the Indiana Pacers have given up the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the NBA to the other team over the last 7 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).Luka Doncic has attempted a lowly 9.2 free throws per game this season, quite a bit less than his 10.5 mark last season.Over the last 20 games, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 3.5 foul shots per game (11th-fewest in the league) vs. the Indiana Pacers, finding it difficult to draw fouls.
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