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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Points
Player Prop - 2/25/2024

Indiana Pacers vs Dallas Mavericks

Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-134/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 34.5 @ -137 before it was bet down to 32.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has made 55.1% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 6.1% more than he's sunk overall this year.

Luka Doncic has attempted 10.3 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, a big improvement over his 8.2 rate last year.

Luka Doncic has been on the court for 37.2 minutes per game away from home this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.

The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 7th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This year, opposing starting PGs have totaled 4.6 three attempts per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) against the Indiana Pacers, resulting in a difficult matchup.

The Mavericks have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Over the last 20 games when they are the visiting squad, opposing teams have nabbed 11.8 offensive boards per game (3rd-most in the league) against the Indiana Pacers (saving possessions that can produce additional chances for offense).

Luka Doncic has attempted a mere 9.3 free throws per game this season, significantly lower than his 10.5 rate last season.

Luka Doncic will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court tends to decrease player production in all facets of the game.

More Luka Doncic Player Props

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