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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Points
Player Prop - 2/10/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 33.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 32.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has attempted 10.5 3-point shots per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 8.2 mark last year.

Out of all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic slots into the 100th percentile for playing time, averaging an enormous 37.7 minutes per game this year.

With respect to shooting, the Dallas Mavericks's impressive 119.9 points per game while on their home court measures as the 6th-highest in the league over the last 25 games.

The matchup vs. the Thunder is a favorable one for three-point attempts; the other team's starting PGs have totaled the 30th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (7.7).

This year, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 5.2 foul shots per game (30th-highest in the league) against the Thunder, finding it easy to get to the free-throw line.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Luka Doncic has failed to make 12.2 shot attempts from the field per game this year, quite a bit more than his 11.1 mark last year.

The 10th-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks.

The Thunder have played at the 4th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 2ndworst in in the league with only 7.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

The Thunder have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.6) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

More Luka Doncic Player Props

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