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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Points
Player Prop - 2/8/2024

New York Knicks vs Dallas Mavericks

Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 33.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 33.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Compared to last season's 8.2 clip, Luka Doncic's three-point attempts have surged this season to 10.4 per game.

Luka Doncic has averaged 37.1 minutes per game away from home this year, putting him in the 99th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.

The Mavericks have been the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games as the away team.

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games while on the road.

This year, opposing teams have nabbed 10.1 offensive rebounds per game (7th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Knicks (losing possessions that could otherwise produce added opportunities for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Luka Doncic has attempted and missed 12.3 field goal attempts per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 11.1 mark last season.

This year, the other team's starting PGs have totaled 4.8 3-point attempts per game (14th-lowest in the league) against the Knicks, designating this as a hard matchup.

The Knicks have played at the most lethargic tempo in the NBA with the home court advantage this year, which should reduce possessions for the Dallas Mavericks.

The Dallas Mavericks have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Compared to last season's 10.5 mark, Luka Doncic's number of free throws has diminished this season to 9.4 free throws per game.

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