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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Points
Player Prop - 1/26/2024

Atlanta Hawks vs Dallas Mavericks

Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 34.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 36.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the league, Luka Doncic places in the 100th percentile, totaling a whopping 33.6 points per game this year.

Luka Doncic has attempted 10.4 shots from downtown per game this year, significantly more than his 8.2 rate last year.

Among all players in the league, Luka Doncic registers in the 98th percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 36.4 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year.

With respect to shooting, the Dallas Mavericks's superb 118.1 points per game comes in as the 8th-most in the NBA this year.

The matchup against Atlanta is a good one for 3-point attempts; when the Atlanta Hawks are on their home court, the opposing team's starting PGs have totaled the 30th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (7.6).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Dallas Mavericks have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

The Hawks have given up the 5th-most offensive boards per game (11.3) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

In comparison to last year's 10.5 clip, Luka Doncic's number of free throws has been reduced this year to 8.9 free throws per game.

The matchup against the Hawks may be a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a mere 3.3 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (13th-least in the league).

Luka Doncic ought to suffer a reduction in effectiveness across the board in light of playing on the visting team in this game.

More Luka Doncic Player Props

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