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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Points
Player Prop - 1/17/2024

Los Angeles Lakers vs Dallas Mavericks

 
 
 
Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 33.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 32.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Luka Doncic has compiled 33.6 points per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the NBA in this category: 100th percentile.
  • In comparison to last year's 8.2 clip, Luka Doncic's three-point attempts have spiked this year to 10.4 per game.
  • Among all players in the league, Luka Doncic lands in the 98th percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 36.4 minutes per game while playing away from home this year.
  • In terms of offense, the Mavericks's outstanding 118.7 points per game ranks 7th-best in the league this year.
  • The speediest pace-of-play away team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a tough one for field goals; when the Lakers are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SGs have posted the 13th-lowest Field Goal% in the NBA this year (37.1%).
  • Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 9thworst in in the NBA as the visting team with just 9.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
  • Over the last 5 games, opposing squads have brought down 11.4 offensive boards per game (5th-most in the league) against the Los Angeles Lakers (lengthening possessions that can generate additional chances for offense).
  • Luka Doncic has attempted a mere 8.7 free throws per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 10.5 mark last season.
  • Luka Doncic should suffer a drop-off in effectiveness across the board as a result of playing away from home in this matchup.

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