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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Points
Player Prop - 1/5/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Portland Trail Blazers

 
 
 
Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-132/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 34.5 @ -141 before it was bet down to 33.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Mavericks have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
  • The Mavericks have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
  • The matchup against the Trail Blazers may be a favorable one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted an enormous 6.5 free throws per game over the last 10 games (29th-most in the NBA).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This year, the opposition's starting PGs have shot 29.8% on three-pointers (13th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers, identifying this as a challenging matchup.
  • Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 8thworst in in the league with only 8.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
  • Over the last 15 games when they are playing at home, opposing teams have captured 12.0 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-highest in the league) against the Portland Trail Blazers (saving possessions that can generate added opportunities for offense).

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