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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Points
Player Prop - 1/1/2024

Utah Jazz vs Dallas Mavericks

Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-132/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 33.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 33.5 @ -132.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the league, Luka Doncic measures in the 100th percentile, putting up a whopping 33.9 points per game this year.

Compared to last year's 8.2 mark, Luka Doncic's shots from behind the three-point arc have risen this year to 10.5 per game.

Luka Doncic has tallied 37.0 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 99th percentile.

The Mavericks check in as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA while playing away from home this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied 1.1 threes per game (15th-lowest in the league) vs. the Utah Jazz, marking this as a tough matchup.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks grade out 9thworst in in the NBA with just 9.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Over the last 10 games, their opposition has snagged 11.9 offensive boards per game (4th-most in the NBA) against the Jazz (retaining possessions that can generate bonus chances for offense).

Luka Doncic has attempted a measly 8.5 free throws per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 10.5 rate last year.

Luka Doncic is expected to see a decline in performance in all facets of the game in light of playing away from home in this contest.

More Luka Doncic Player Props

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