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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Points
Player Prop - 12/27/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Cleveland Cavaliers

Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-134/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 36.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 34.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has posted 33.5 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 100th percentile.

In comparison to last season's 8.2 rate, Luka Doncic's three-point attempts have surged this season to 10.4 per game.

Out of all players in the league, Luka Doncic measures in the 99th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 37.0 minutes per game this year.

This year, the other team's starting PGs have shot 41.4% on 3-pointers (29th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Cavaliers, marking this as a good matchup.

The Mavericks have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 3rd-least efficient shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Mavericks are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the most sluggish pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Cleveland Cavaliers).

Luka Doncic has attempted a mere 8.5 free throws per game this year, significantly lower than his 10.5 rate last year.

The matchup vs. the Cavaliers may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted just 2.5 free throws per game over the last 15 games (14th-least in the NBA).

More Luka Doncic Player Props

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