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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Points
Player Prop - 12/20/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs LA Clippers

Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 36.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 36.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has compiled 32.9 points per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA by this metric: 100th percentile.

Luka Doncic has sunk an impressive 3.9 threes per game this year, a significant increase from his 2.8 mark last year.

Among all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic registers in the 99th percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 36.6 minutes per game this year.

The Dallas Mavericks have been the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.

The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a strong one for field goals; when the LA Clippers are the visiting team, the opposition's starting PGs have shot for the 24th-highest FG% in the NBA this year (45.6%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Clippers have played at the 5th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home court this year, which should reduce opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks.

The Dallas Mavericks have been the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Away from their home court, the Clippers have given up the 6th-most offensive boards per game (12.0) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

In contrast to last season's 10.5 mark, Luka Doncic's number of free throws has been reduced this season to 8.0 free throws per game.

More Luka Doncic Player Props

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