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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Points
Player Prop - 12/18/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks

Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-115/-115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has attempted 10.1 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 8.2 rate last year.

Among all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic rates in the 98th percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 35.7 minutes per game away from his home court this year.

When it comes to offense, the Dallas Mavericks's fantastic 119.3 points per game on the road places 5th-best in the NBA this year.

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the league while playing on the road this year.

Luka Doncic has sunk 7.3 foul shots per game over the last 10 games, 1.0 higher than he's sunk overall this season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Luka Doncic has tallied 0.6 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.3 more than he's tallied over the course of the year.

This year when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting PGs have shot 20.5% on three-pointers (14th-weakest in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets, branding this as a hard matchup.

The Dallas Mavericks are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 3rd-most lethargic pace home team in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets).

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks rank 6thworst in in the league with just 9.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

The Denver Nuggets have given up the 6th-most offensive boards per game (12.4) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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